A few of the facts, from various (reputable) articles, Seaborn Hall, Revised 11/25/17

  • 58 people were killed, about 500 wounded, in the Las Vegas Shooting from the Mandalay Bay Hotel in Las Vegas into the Country Music Festival where Jason Aldean was performing. The shooter was Stephen Paddock, a white man in his 60’s.
  • Police responded to the room in about 12 minutes, after a security guard reported hearing shots
  • The security guard was wounded when Paddock, the shooter, shot about 200 rounds through the hotel door into the hallway
  • Paddock began firing on the crowd shortly before – or after, depending on reports – wounding the security guard in the leg and continued firing after wounding him – he fired approximately 900 rounds into the crowd
  • Paddock shot into the crowd for approximately 10 minutes, in 12 mostly prolonged bursts, that is, he stopped shooting about the time police arrived outside his room
  • The room was not breached until 75 minutes after shooting started – police outside the room were waiting for SWAT to arrive
  • There are indications that Paddock attempted to fire on and set off fuel tanks close to the concert and hotel, but failed. This may have been an attempt to create a diversion that would aid his escape.
  • By the time SWAT breached, Paddock had killed himself
  • There were 23 guns/rifles found in the room – another 19+ were found at various houses owned by Paddock
  • There is no indication from any ballistic expert that carpet burns (on the hotel room carpet) would be caused by shells after 10 minutes of firing
    • contrary to early ‘conspiracy’ oriented reports, there were plenty of shell casings found lying around the room
  • Paddock fired from 32 floors up at a 15 degree angle downfield approximately 1000 to 1300 feet into a “beaten zone” (WW I term for mass shooting firing). Firing like this would most likely require a tri-pod set up and a trained marksman. Only minute adjustments in the gun level are required to change the effective field of fire.
  • The effective firing range of an AR-15 is 600 yards, or up to 1800 feet – this is well within range of the field of fire, the ‘beaten zone.’
    • That is, the weapons Paddock used were appropriate for the task. There is no truth in the rumor that his weapons would not fire over the distance accurately.
  • There is no indication that there was another shooter, or an accomplice, on site; however, police are still investigating whether Paddock might have had an accomplice in the weeks leading up to the shooting
  • Paddock grew up in Los Angeles, in the San Fernando Valley next to the freeway
  • He previously worked for the post office and the IRS; more recently he was a real estate investor and a professional gambler
  • His girlfriend was Filipina, is cooperating with authorities, and maintains no knowledge of his intentions
  • As of this date, no clear motive has been reported by the media, though all motives, including political motives, like animosity towards conservatives or Trump supporters, have been assessed
    • For example, he was apparently scouting other venues before choosing the Mandalay Hotel, including concerts like Lalapalooza that would have been full of liberals…
    • For more on motive, see here
    • or, here
    • or, here
    • or, as of 10/08, see here
    • or, here
    • or, here
  • Yes, the security guard was missing – from the media, not the police – for about 5 days. He cancelled appearances on Fox and other media, to appear on the Ellen Show, which is sponsored by MGM, the same company which owns the Mandalay Bay Hotel in Las Vegas where the shooting took place. However, though it appears this may be an attempt by MGM to control the information flow on the event for marketing and business purposes, there is no evidence of a conspiracy.
  • Currently, the best explanation for Paddock’s actions is that he was a psychopath who may have been set off by some event in the months leading up to the shooting.
    • If a motive is clear, it is usually uncovered within the first 24-48 hours of the investigation.
    • For the latest on motive, see here.
  • For the best recent overview, including room/hotel diagrams, of the shooting events and how they unfolded, see this NY Times video link: Mapping The Las Vegas Massacre
  • There are remaining questions on events and motive: Who broke into one of Paddock’s houses shortly after the event? Why? Why did Paddock destroy the hard drive on his computer?
  • According to Aaron Cohen, an Israeli Security/Terrorism expert, there is no conspiracy, but there are plenty of questions relative to mysteries surrounding the shooting
  • According to Cohen there was definitely a trigger that set off Paddock, though because of his extensive planning, that trigger had a slow build to its release in the LV shooting
  • Also see, What Its Like Being Shot, The New Yorker
  • The Latest: Most of the new articles on the shooting reflect a certain bitterness that law enforcement is not releasing any new information. This should not be taken as evidence of some grand conspiracy, but reticence to speculate rather than release unconfirmed facts.