CS updates our site posts through each weekend, and other times as necessary. Please check back frequently for updates on postings.


What Will Cause The Next Recession? (video, left) Richard Fisher, Former Dallas Fed President, CNBC

Kara Murphy, United Capital CIO On Earnings Season (video, right), CNBC

How Much Money Do You Need To Live In Los Angeles? Greg Depersio, Investopedia

Apple Stock Poised To Do Something It Hasn’t Done In 8 Years, Li/Francolla, CNBC

70% Of Wall Street Believes Trump Will Be Re-Elected (video, left), Fox Business

China Militarizing Space: They Are Ahead Of US In Space Race (video, right), Fox Business

Bitcoin Drops Back To $5K After Failed Breakout, Daniel Palmer, Coinbase

Market Pullback? Top Technician Says These Are Names To Buy Into Earnings Season (video, left), CNBC

How Do Airlines Price Tickets? (video, right), CNBC

 

Editor’s Choice


The US And China Are Fighting For Global Power (video, left), CNBC

The Difference Between The Economy And The Stock Market (video, right), CNBC

Gassing Up: Energy Production Is Getting Cheaper And Cleaner, Kevin D. Williamson, National Review

What Is Tencent? (video, left) CNBC International

The Story Behind China And Italy’s New Alliance (video, right), CNBC

The Yield Curve Inverted – Here Are 5 Things Investors Need To Know, William Watts, MarketWatch

CS Commentary: Facts to know: The 3 month/10 Year Treasury spread is the most important indicator, though many media pundits will follow the 2 year/10 year. Inversion needs to be sustained for 10 straight days to be an accurate predictor – it was not sustained for more than a few days this time. Recession typically occurs 1 year to 18 months following a sustained inversion – and the stock market can continue to go higher during that period. Though yield curve inversion has preceded the last nine recessions, inversion can occur without a recession following. Also see, The Inverted Yield Curve Is Good News For The Dow Jones And The Economy, IBD

But Treasury Spread Must Invert 10 Days Straight – Then Recession Follow In Average Of 311 Days

Italy’s Situation Has Deteriorated Badly Over The Past Few Weeks (video, right), Bloomberg Markets & Finance

America’s Biggest Economic Challenge May Be Its Demographic Decline, Neil Irwin, NY Times

CS Commentary: Harry Dent may have been one of the first to sound the alarm on this problem as far back as 2008-09, but he largely mis-forecasted when and how the problem would become reality, suggesting that there would be a second major stock market collapse soon after 2008 – this never occurred. Has immigration, central bank manipulation, and globalization solved some of this problem in ways that Dent could not foresee? Perhaps not, but only time will tell.

Cryptocurrency


Bitcoin Surge: New Bull Market? (video, left) Cointelegraph

Is Big Bitcoin Resurgence On The Horizon? (video, right) CNBC

Trader Who Called Bitcoin’s 84% Decline Now Says $50,000 In Next Two Years, Zach Guzman, Yahoo Finance

Coinbase And Visa Are Making Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripples, And Litecoin Payments A Reality, Billy Bambrough, Forbes

Bitcoin Futures Exchange Bakkt Hires Former PayPal And Google Exec As Product Chief, Nikhilesh De, Coinbase

What Bitcoin’s Rally Might Mean For 2019, CNBC; Also see, Bitcoin Catching On Fast Outside Of US, Bloomberg Tech

Bitcoin Price Surge – Analyzing Why (video, left), Cointelegraph

Cryptocurrencies Are Here To Stay, Gerald P. Dwyer, AIER; Also see, Facebook’s Crypto Currency Expected To Add $19 Billion in Revenue, Newsbtc.com

You Don’t Understand Bitcoin Because You Think Money Is Real, Maria Bustillos, Medium; Also see, Bitcoin Might Be Crypto-Gold But Ethereum Is Crypto-Silicon, Michael K. Spencer, Medium

Jack Dorsey ‘All-In’ On Bitcoin, Predicts ‘Massive Boon, CNBC; Also see, The History Of Money And The Future Of Cryptocurrency, Brian C. Albrecht, AIER; Also see, How Google Is Quietly Making Blockchains More Searchable, Michael del Castillo, Forbes

Edelman: Bitcoin ETF ‘Virtually Certain (video, right),’ CNBC; Also see, Finance Expert Ric Edelman: We Will Eventually See A Bitcoin ETF, Ana Alexandre, Cointelegraph

 

Updates On DIG


Dissecting A Con Game: What Happened To The DIG Cryptocurrency? Seaborn Hall, Common Sense Money

Agent Appears To Back Up Arbitrade/DIG Gold Title Claim, Scott O’Neil, The Royal Gazette; Also see, Finance Guru Ronnie Moas Digs For $10 Billion In Crypto Gold, Mitchell Moos, Crypto Slate, January 2019

CS Commentary: We don’t believe this really changes anything. See our article above.

DIG Crypto Price Since April 2018

Update On DIG, 12/15/18, Seaborn Hall, Common Sense. See this link for more posts and information on DIG/Arbitrade.

DIG/Arbitrade: Not All That Glitters Is Gold – Is DIG A Well Orchestrated Scam? Ken Griffith, The Royal Gazette

CS Commentary: We suggest that the comments at the end of the article also be read. The author raises some interesting points, but it is not clear whether…To continue reading see this link…

See This Link For More Updates & Links On DIG Cryptocurrency

Must-See Videos


Could Bitcoin Still Go To $25K? (video, left), Fox Business

More Wealth Will Be Created In The Next 20 Years Than Ever Before (video, left), Phillip Anderson (2012)

Is The Rollout of 5G & ‘Significantly Higher Speeds’ A Boost For Smartphone Makers?, Fox Business

The Future Of AI: Have Humans Met Their Match? Fox News

Ray Dalio On Lessons From The Great Financial Crisis (video, right), CNBC

s Now A Good Time To Buy Bitcoin? (video, left) Bloomberg Tech

Why Amazon Alexa And Google Assistant Are Becoming Omnipresent, CNBC

How The Real Estate Cycle Works (video, right), Phillip Anderson

Art Laffer: Economic Damage From Shutdown Reversible, Fox Business

Cyber Threats: The U.S. Is More Vulnerable Than Ever (video, left), Judge Jeannine Piro, Fox News Insider

Tech, The Big Picture: Here Are Three Tech Stocks To Buy Right Now, CNBC

The Public Does Not Understand: China Has Been Cheating U.S. For A Long Time, Mornings With Maria, Fox Business;

Is Netflix The Most Powerful Company In Media?, Fox Business

Global Outlook 2019 Manila with Howard Marks (video, left), Bank Of Singapore

CS Commentary: Some great, insightful comments on investing here, especially from a general overall perspective based on where we are in the recovery from 2008 now, well worth the 15 minutes of viewing.

Yield Curve Inversion: Recession Fear vs. Reality (video, right), Bloomberg

Jim Cramer On Jeff Gundlach: He Was Right About The Fed, CNBC

The New Space Race To The Moon, Curious Droid

Common Sense Interpretation

(Start Here First To Understand The Investment Arena Big Picture)


JPM Guide To The Markets April 2019 (video, left), JPM Asset Management Hong Kong

How Should Investors Position Their Portfolios In This Economic Environment? (video, right, Fox Business

How SIFMA, FSI, FINRA, And The SEC Conspired To Doom The Advisory Profession, Ron A. Rhoades, Advisor Perspectives
CS Commentary: SIFMA stands for The Security Industry Financial Marketing Association. FSI stands for Financial Services Institute. FINRA stands for Financial Industry Regulatory Association, a Congressionally authorized association that regulates broker-dealers. The SEC is the Security Exchange Commission, an “independent federal government agency responsible for protecting investors, maintaining fair and orderly functioning of the securities markets, and facilitating capital formation (Investopedia).

This is the most important article we have published here in sometime, yet, it will be too long and technical for many of our readers. We encourage you to read the introduction and the conclusion. The bottom line here is that the current SEC has, once again, been corrupted by compromise, lobbying and the broker-dealer industry – and the fiduciary landscape may be, once again, about to change. That is, be compromised. At present, investors can rely on the fact that RIA’s (Registered Investment Advisors) are held to a higher Fiduciary standard – this may not be the case much longer if the SEC has its way. For a shorter and simpler explanation of what the fiduciary standard should mean, see the Common Sense Interpretation-Money page and our articles on the Fiduciary Pyramid.

Primary Inversion Signal: 3 Month/10 Year Treasury Spread Inversion

Inversions Occur Without Recessions/Average Time After Inversion Is 14 Months

Here’s When The Yield Curve Becomes An Actual Danger Signal, William Watts, MarketWatch; Also see, This Time Yield Curve Suggests Market Has Already Peaked, According To Analyst, Chris Matthews, MarketWatch

Is The American Economy Underperforming Or Not? AIER

Why Reported Inflation Is So Low, John H. Morse, Advisor Perspectives

After Two Of The Greatest Bull Markets In History, Why Are Investors So Broke? Lance Roberts, Advisor Perspectives

Gundlach: We Are On The Road To A Large Debt Problem, Robert Huebscher, Advisor Perspectives; Also see, Does The US Debt Matter? (as of 7/28/18) (see left, below), CNBC; Also see, What Would Happen If The US Stopped Paying Its Debt?, Infographics; Also see, How To Solve America’s Spending Problem (video, right), Prager U

CS Commentary: Both these Prager U 2014 videos on debt should be a must–view, but especially this one. The scenario describe here – escalating entitlement costs and much higher taxes – will occur, and probably much sooner than the video predicts, about 40 years. CS projects that the US will begin experiencing serious problems relative to this issue around 2030 and that they will quickly escalate from there. Cutting entitlements is the only sane and rational way to avoid this problem – however, the corruption in Congress has been an obstacle to this solution for years and currently does not seem likely to change.

Live 24/7 World Debt Clocks

CS Commentary: This may not be exactly in sync with the US Debt Clock, here but it is close as of 2/14/19.

What Makes A Financial Advisor a True Fiduciary? Mindy Diamond, Wealth Management

CS Commentary: Good Financial Advisors and RIA’s have been talking about these concepts for at least a decade. Everyone else is just catching up.

What Designations Does Your Financial Advisor Need?, Peter Lazoroff, Forbes

CS Commentary: Though this is helpful in explaining the top 3 designations to look for in the investment arena, we emphatically disagree that your financial advisor needs any of them to be competent and have your bests interests at heart. Perhaps of all three, the CFP is the most important – but not even it assures that your advisor is a fiduciary that limits conflict of interest, that they work for a good company, particularly a RIA, or that they have your best interest at heart. An AIF at least assures that they understand the demands and criteria of a fiduciary and will at least attempt to ensure low conflict of interest in all that they do. Beyond that, you should look for detailed knowledge about the investment arena, which includes how portfolios are put together to achieve your individual goals and the best way to administrate your overall plan, an ability to simplify it and make it understandable to you, and look at who they work for and where the firm fits in the Fiduciary Pyramid. Also, beware if the person selling you is also the person directly managing your money. No one has the time or expertise to do both well. Bottom line: Designations – like MBA or CFA – are important for the person who directly manages your money and those on the investment committee in your advisor firm, or who head up the funds where your money is allocated. Your advisor is more of a salesmen or direct point of contact and may use his/her designations to impress. Don’t be fooled.

How The Real Estate Cycle Works , Phillip Anderson, You Tube

CS Commentary: In 2012 Phillip J. Anderson predicts exactly where the US stock markets and real estate markets will be today. Also see, Phillip J. Anderson’s Explanation Of The Real Estate Clock, portphillippublishing.com

The Real Estate Clock Has Proved Accurate Over 200 Years Except For World Wars

Common Crypto Scams And How To Avoid Them, Jack Dossman, Medium

Why Did The Crypto Meltdown Occur? CNBC; CS Commentary: A good overview of the current state of the crypto markets.

Here’s How Blockchain Will Impact Your Life In 10 Years, Darla Mercado, CNBC

To See The Common Sense Interpretation-Money Page, Click Here

Resources

To See The Money – Resources Page Click Here

More Common Sense


Books:

Killing Jesus: A History, Bill O’Reilly

Culture:

Lori Loughlin Could See Jail On New Charges (video, left), Fox Business (Also see more below in TV/Streaming)

Loughlin Hit With New Charges: How Much Time She Could Face In Jail (video, right), Fox News

3rd Death In Three Weeks At Grand Canyon, Madani/AP, NBC News

Google Marks Pro-Life Film ‘Propaganda’ While Labeling Nazi Propaganda Film As ‘History,’ Madeline Osburn, The Federalist

New Human Species Discovered In Cave In The Philippines, Doyle Rice, USA Today

Retail Apocalypse Now: 75,000 More US Retail Stores Will Be Closed, Plain Dealer/Washington Post

Houses Of Worship Upgrade Security After Shootings, WSJ/Colorado Politics

Health/Fitness/Relationships:

Teacher Shames 11 Year Old For Choosing Trump As Her Hero (video, left), Fox News

A Mysterious Infection, Spanning the Globe In A Climate Of Secrecy, Richtel/Jacobs, MSN/NY Times; Also see, What You Need To Know About Candida Auris; Also see, Unbeatable Superbug Infection Kills Hundreds Across US, CBS News

The Five Stages Of Grief, Kubler-Ross Model, Christina Gregory, PhD

Nuns Sexually Abusing Minors Could Be The Next Scandal To Break In The Catholic Church, Hollie McKay, Fox News

Movies:

The Shazam Sequel Is Officially In The Works, Germain Lussier, Gizmodo; Also see, Shazam Is A Good Superhero Movie And A Better Family Drama

Star Wars: The Rise Of Skywalker Trailer Debuts, Brad Jackson, The Federalist; Official Trailer here (or, video, left)

Film Review: Amazing Love: The Story Of Hosea

CS Commentary: Stars Sean Astin, a 2012 release. Amazon users give the film 4 ½ out of 5 stars.

Unplanned Changing Minds On Abortion, One America News; Also see, Real Life Character Of ‘Unplanned’ Speaks, One America News

Movie Review: The Case For Christ, Chris Carpenter, CBN

Music:

Billboard’s Top 500 Songs Of The 90’s, Sirius

Miranda Lambert Took A Dig At Blake Shelton At ACM Awards While He Was Seated With Gwen Stefani, Ryan Shocket, Buzz Feed

Sports:

The 30: The New MLB Power List For This Week, Jonah Keri, The Athletic

How One Terrible Call Changed The NCAA National Championship Game, Pete Thamel, Yahoo Sports

MLB: Why Dallas Kuechel And Craig Kimbrel Still Aren’t Signed, Jim Bowden, The Athletic

How To Watch The NFL 2019 Draft – It Starts April 25th, NFL; Also see, Falcons Have 9 Draft Picks: Last Time This Happened They Traded Up For Julio Jones, Will McFadden, Atlanta Falcons; Also see, NFL 2019 Mock Draft: Falcons Take Rashan Gary, Brandon Lee Gowton, Bleeding Green Nation

23 Horses Have Died At Santa Anita Race Track Since December, John Cherwa, Los Angeles Times; Also see here for latest entries for Saturday’s race of the Santa Anita Derby; Also see, Expert Picks For The Kentucky Derby, May 3, 2019

Travel:

Why You May Not Want To Fly Boeing’s 737 MAX Again: 1960’s Design, 1990’s Computers, Patchwork Assembly, Nicas/Creswell, NY Times/BD News; Also see, Aviation World Faces Moment Of Reckoning After Boeing 737 Max Crash, CNN

Spaceplane That Flies 25 Times The Speed Of Sound Passes Crucial Test, Charlotte Edwards, The Sun/Fox News

Doctor Dragged Off United Airlines Flight ‘Just Cried’ Watching Viral Video, Julia Jacobo, ABC News

The 21 Safest Airlines In The World, 2019, Benjamin Zhang, Business Insider; Also see, The Most Popular International Flights, Josie Green, 24/7

TV/Streaming:

Lori Loughlin In Panic Mode As She Realizes She May Not Avoid Prison, Jessica Sager, Fox News; Also see, Felicity Huffman May Face Up To 21 Months In Jail; Lori Loughlin Will Not Yet Admit Guilt, Eric Levenson, CNN

Allison Mack Of ‘Smallville’ Pleads Guilty In Case Of Sex Cult Where Women Were Branded, Gold/Moynihan, NY Times; Also see, Allison Mack Of ‘Smallville’ Pleads Guilty, People

How Game Of Thrones Became The Last Popular TV Show, Alyssa Bereznak, The Ringer

Netflix’s ‘The Highwaymen,’ Balanced Glamor-Free Take On Bonnie And Clyde Saga, Ron Capshaw, The Federalist; Also see, The Highwaymen, Netflix, Official Trailer

Quotes Of The Month:

“You can never defeat an enemy you don’t recognize.” – Rick Joyner

“History is littered with wars which everybody knew would never happen.” – Enoch Powell

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